From American Hegemony to Pax Sinica

The following is a review of Eclipse: Living in the Shadow of China’s Economic Dominance, by Arvind Subramanian.

Arvind Subramanian begins this compelling book with a provocative scene. It is February 2021. The newly elected U.S. president, accompanied at Chinese insistence by U.S. Congressional leaders, make a humiliating pilgrimage to the International Monetary Fund to secure a $3 trillion bailout. China, the world’s largest economy, dictates the terms. Among them is a naval pullback from the Pacific.

Continue reading

From Red to Black: Can China Turn Green?

The following is a review of When a Billion Chinese Jump: How China Will Save Mankind – Or Destroy It, by Johnathan Watts.

Jonathan Watts (華衷) is a self-confessed worrier. When he was a child there was a popular urban myth in the West that if China’s one billion people all jumped at exactly the same time, it would “shake the earth off its axis and destroy us all.” For some time, the young Watts’ bedtime prayers ended by asking God to “help all the poor and hungry people, and please make sure everyone in China doesn’t jump at the same time.”

Continue reading